• ultranaut@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    This isn’t really accurate, there’s been literally hundreds of billions invested over the past several years. The only reason prices are predicted to normalize after 2028 is because that’s when the new fabs come online that those investments are paying for.

    • carmo55@lemmy.zip
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      3 days ago

      Who do you think is going to be buying DRAM at the current prices in 2027?

      Before the bubble, there used to be oversupply of DRAM leading to price fixing scandals, that’s what will eventually happen again.

      • ultranaut@lemmy.world
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        3 days ago

        Probably anyone who wants RAM. 2027 production is mostly already sold, the shortage isn’t going away until there’s more fabs. 2027 is more likely to see higher prices than lower.

        • carmo55@lemmy.zip
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          2 days ago

          Production being sold out doesn’t mean anything when there are no commercial entities left to actually pay the bill.

          • ultranaut@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            You should look into what is actually going on in the industry, the bills are getting paid. Companies are even pre-paying for future allocations, and there is a transition towards 5 year contracts.

      • minfapper@piefed.social
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        2 days ago

        Unfortunately, we’re not going to get an over supply of DRAM once the bubble pops.

        Most of the current production is HBM, which is juuust architecturally different enough from DRAM to not be useful for desktop computers

        • carmo55@lemmy.zip
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          2 days ago

          I was under the impression that the underlying memory chips are the ones we have a shortage of, and HBM is just one way to package them?