A quarter of respondents say they would ‘definitely’ back the rightwing populist party at the next election while another third say they’re ‘open’ to it

In the same week Hanson refused to apologise for telling Sky News “how can you tell me there are good Muslims?”, 58% of respondents to the Essential poll said they either would vote for One Nation, or were open to voting for them, at the next election due by 2028.

Among all respondents, 25% said they would “definitely” back the rightwing populist party at the next election, with 33% saying they’re “open” to it. Only 28% said they would “never vote for One Nation”, with 14% unsure.

February’s Essential poll finds a substantial number of Labor voters are also open to One Nation.

Among respondents who said they voted for the Coalition, 17% said they would definitely vote One Nation next time, with a startling 51% saying they were open to doing so. Among Labor voters, 12% said they’d definitely vote One Nation, with 33% saying they’d be open to it.

  • tombruzzo@aussie.zone
    5·
    5 days ago

    I wonder how much of this is true and how much of this is massaging the polls for a narrative. The media has tried to spin every election since like 2011 as if it’s going to end up in another hung Parliament. It will be interesting to see how many people actually vote for ON when the time comes

    • Nath@aussie.zone
      2·
      4 days ago

      Let’s hear from an actual expert on this topic:

      “I think some of the surge in One Nation support is in response to a generic polling question. Many disenchanted voters already have high profile Independent members and candidates in their local seat. It is Independents who are a bigger threat to the Liberal Party, but complex four cornered contests increase the importance of the order candidates finish on primary votes, and affect whose preferences get distributed.”

      No, One Nation are in no position to win elections.