Welcome again to everybody. Make yourself at home. In the time-honoured tradition of our group, here is the weekly discussion thread.
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Yes they do. Russia and China are the defense. A first strike is the only defense for Russia and China against a belligerent usa that is willing to use nukes. It forces their hand no matter who the target is because of the usa’s proven track record of antagonism against China and Russia.
If someone screams over and over that they are going to kill you but they don’t because you have a gun pointed at them and then you see them pull out a gun and shoot someone else are you going to wait for them to face you or shoot them right away?
You are dooming for no reason. The results of a nuclear strike are horrible for everyone but they are markedly worse for israel and usa. You are worrying about people doing something that would hurt themselves more than it would hurt anyone else. Even a psychopath wouldn’t do that. They do not believe the armageddon tripe that some jar heads are spouting. There is no up side to them and all they care about is the upside.
It is a waste of energy worrying about something that is very unlikely to happen especially when there is nothing you can do to stop it.
I hope you are correct. I just fear for my family’s safety. Without the nuclear option, I see the complete retreat of imperialism from West Asia, which I truly hope to see.
Right this is what worries me since it fits the model I’ve been working with for this whole conflict. My consolation is that I misjudged how rapidly we would accelerate into the whole oil industry across the region getting decimated. This does allow Iran to maintain MAD in a sense. They are aiming their weapons like they want to kill people at insurance companies via cardiac arrest, it’s very calculating. As for Israel independently launching nukes when its entire intelligence-military apparatus is in the hands of the USA, I think that may be unrealistic. We can still skate by without nukes dropping.