A few days ago, we saw Canada’s Conservative opposition leader Pierre Poilievre lose an election and his own seat. Can we make that twice in a week?

Current numbers (6.1% counted) have a 5.1% swing to the ALP, resulting in a 6.8% lead for Labor’s Ali France over Liberal leader Peter Dutton.

  • olorin99@kbin.earth
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    5 days ago

    Just yesterday I talked to someone from Dickson who was complaining that it felt like a waste of time since Dutton was just going to win. Bet they’re pretty happy now.

    • MisterFrog@aussie.zone
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      5 days ago

      Thank you to our forebears for this at least, giving us preferential voting so that no matter what we think might happen, we can still vote by our heart!!

      • Dave.@aussie.zone
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        4 days ago

        Preferential AND mandatory voting, so that all those, “meh it doesn’t make any difference” voters are forced to get out there and at least put their opinion on a ballot paper.

        And hats off to the AEC who do a very good job of nudging people to get their details sorted, and for putting in place systems that makes it pretty easy to do so, and for generally making sure that elections are pretty well organised.

        AND we have snags and cake stalls for good causes at polling places and it’s also done on a Saturday, so might as well get out there and do the thing.

      • TrippaSnippa@aussie.zone
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        5 days ago

        To think that the reason we have preferential voting is because it benefitted the conservative parties of the day…

        • vividspecter@lemm.ee
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          2 days ago

          Reminds me of all of the back and forth between optional and full preferential voting at the state level. Usually the change would only happen because the government at the time thought they would benefit from it, only for it to backfire an election cycle or two later.

    • GreenMartian@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      5 days ago

      Mate in Sturt SA (The Grub’s old seat) was whinging - what’s the point, Libs have never lost the seat and probably never will.

      Guess which electorate was the only one in SA to have flipped tonight?

      • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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        5 days ago

        Definitely. And while the Liberals have tried to claim they’ve been unfairly tarred with the orange brush, they deliberately tacked that way and it did not work. You had Dutton threatening to get “the woke agenda” out of school curriculums (notably set by the previous LNP government, so the woke agenda of … Scott Morrison???) and Jacinta Nampijinpa Price literally saying MAGA.

        • GreenMartian@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          5 days ago

          unfairly tarred with the orange brush

          Don’t forget “hate media”, and getting a preference deal with Pauline Hanson…

          They really have zero self-awareness.

  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    We’re basically done at this point, but we can see Dutton very slightly coming back as pre-polls start being counted, but he’s so deep in the hole that it’s irrelevant.

    8:56 PM AEST
    29 of 40 centres reporting primaries

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 13,233 34.5% 59.0%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 11,759 30.7% 41.0%
  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    Dutton has just officially given his double concession speech for both the federal and local campaigns, against Albanese and Ali France. Polls continue to trickle in, nothing surprising to see.

    9:37 PM AEST
    32 of 40 centres reporting primaries

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 14,867 34.3% 58.7%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 13,469 31.1% 41.3%
  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    ABC updates are sluggish, so I’m switching to the AEC’s own count and projections from here.

    8:09 AEST
    13 of 40 centres reporting primaries

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 8,074 33.2% 57.9%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 7,051 29.0% 42.1%
  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    7:25 PM AEST
    10 of 41 centres reporting primaries, 2 of 41 reporting preferences.

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 2,273 32.7% 53.4%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 2,172 31.3% 46.6%
  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    Second-last update of the night, unless the last one suddenly takes a lot longer. No significant changes, still close on primary/not close on preferences.

    EDIT: Actually, I guess we’re done, the tracker updated to show 40 of 40 polling stations reporting without the figures actually budging at all. And we’re out of here.

    12:04 PM AEST
    40 of 40 centres reporting primaries

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 28,352 34.2% 56.5%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 28,466 34.3% 43.5%
  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    8:33 PM AEST
    29 of 40 centres reporting primaries

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 12,503 34.4% 59.3%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 10,918 30.0% 40.7%
  • vaguerant@fedia.ioOP
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    5 days ago

    8:20 PM AEST\ 28 of 40 centres reporting primaries

    Name Party Primary % 2PP
    Ali France Labor 9,766 33.5% 58.3%
    Peter Dutton Liberal National 8,428 28.9% 41.7%