• Mantzy81@aussie.zone
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    2 days ago

    unless r is a lot higher than 1, you’re working yourself into an unnecessary panic (and Andean Hantavirus is about 1.2)

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.worldOP
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      2 days ago

      No, the last big outbreak was 2.1…

      Here, check out an actual source:

      In the 2018–2019 Epuyén outbreak, 34 confirmed cases were linked to one index case, with transmission apparently amplified by symptomatic individuals attending >crowded social events, followed by subsequent close-contact transmissions. Epidemiological analysis estimated >an initial median reproductive number of approximately 2.1 before control measures were implemented, >decreasing after isolation, quarantine and active contact tracing.

      https://zenodo.org/records/20112944

      But hey, maybe you just know more than who release that statement…

      Let’s see, that was the checks notes, International Hantavirus Society

      Do you believe you know more about Hantavirus than the International Hantavirus Society?

      Do you know we have asymptomatic carriers now too?

      • Mantzy81@aussie.zone
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        2 days ago

        2.1? And only after close contact and reducing after isolation. Pfft… pathetic. Let me know when it becomes a real epidemic that actually spreads properly. This isn’t worth worrying about.

        Hey OP, is there any particular reason you’re trying to scare yourself? Are you prone to overly dramatic outbursts of panic or is this a new thing? Do you need to speak to someone? Are you okay?

        Btw. Sister is an epidemiologolst who has worked for WHO previously. Wife is a public health officer. Neither of them are worried.

        • givesomefucks@lemmy.worldOP
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          1 day ago

          Do you believe you know more about Hantavirus than the International Hantavirus Society?

          I’ll be honest, did not expect you to claim your sister was one, what I get for taking accounts seriously

          Like, it’s over twice what you said would be a problem …

          But suddenly now that’s not a problem?

          You’re just not serious. None of what you say matters, you have an opinion (this isn’t a big deal) and nothing else matters to you… You’ll change anything else to make this not feel like a big deal

          Why?

          Like, do you think if you just lie and say whatever to make people think it’s not a big deal…

          That it will magically stop being a big deal?

          That’s not how anything works…

          • Mantzy81@aussie.zone
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            1 day ago

            That’s because it’s not a big deal, you’re just needlessly panicking and trying to make others do the same which serves little point, especially right now. You may have noticed, nobody else is too worried at this point either because it’s not that big a problem, yet. Does it have the potential to be a big problem? Yes but we’re in a post-covid world. If we need to isolate and do things like wearing masks, we will (not all of us are non-science USians and can isolate for others as well as ourselves). Those who refuse and will grab dewormer instead, well let’s be honest, they probably shouldn’t have made it to breeding age anyway so no major loss.

            End of the day, it’s not at a level you need to panic about. Take a sedative. Stay in if you want and you’ll not get it at all. Simples.

            Edit: and I was being honest about my sister and wife btw but 🤷🏼‍♂️ whatevs. You do you OP. Don’t be surprised that others aren’t as panicked as you.