as you said the eu has no energy, so it’s only a matter of time with the sanctions game. they are already quietly opening up to russian energy again. i think it’s a matter of how they worm their way around us influence, like any of the us vassals.
as for taiwan, the us recently sent literal billions in weapons and some taiwanese politicians are already openly talking about not turning into an ukraine situation with those, which means there might be significant popular support for that idea. they are constantly provoking. not to mention the “military exercises” they like to do in the region.
i’m not optimistic about their nukes at all, however with nuclear weapons we sadly don’t have the power of hindsight, but we can see what they do out of desperation in the new war on iran. really brings out the existential dread, so we get the real feeling of a cold war.
in a way, some of the things you predict will happen in the future are already happening now.
as for taiwan, the us recently sent literal billions in weapons and some taiwanese politicians are already openly talking about not turning into an ukraine situation with those, which means there might be significant popular support for that idea. they are constantly provoking. not to mention the “military exercises” they like to do in the region.
Weapons send to Taiwan are mostly a grift. It goes back to US foreign policy of never fully committing to sending actually useful weapons to Taiwan because of the belief that Taiwan can always “flip” back to the Mainland and hand over said weapons to the PLA. It’s because of this that Chiang Kai-Shek got shitty hand-me-down weapons, but at least he got them for free and those shitty hand-me-down weapons were still better than what the PLA had at the time. Lai is no Chiang. He’s still getting shitty hand-me-down weapon platforms, but now he has to pay a premium.
as you said the eu has no energy, so it’s only a matter of time with the sanctions game. they are already quietly opening up to russian energy again. i think it’s a matter of how they worm their way around us influence, like any of the us vassals.
as for taiwan, the us recently sent literal billions in weapons and some taiwanese politicians are already openly talking about not turning into an ukraine situation with those, which means there might be significant popular support for that idea. they are constantly provoking. not to mention the “military exercises” they like to do in the region.
i’m not optimistic about their nukes at all, however with nuclear weapons we sadly don’t have the power of hindsight, but we can see what they do out of desperation in the new war on iran. really brings out the existential dread, so we get the real feeling of a cold war.
in a way, some of the things you predict will happen in the future are already happening now.
Weapons send to Taiwan are mostly a grift. It goes back to US foreign policy of never fully committing to sending actually useful weapons to Taiwan because of the belief that Taiwan can always “flip” back to the Mainland and hand over said weapons to the PLA. It’s because of this that Chiang Kai-Shek got shitty hand-me-down weapons, but at least he got them for free and those shitty hand-me-down weapons were still better than what the PLA had at the time. Lai is no Chiang. He’s still getting shitty hand-me-down weapon platforms, but now he has to pay a premium.