Computers are not actually intelligent. What are they but big calculators? They are removing jobs and barely doing anything better! They take up a whole room! No one needs that!
The internet is hardly worth anything. It’s nothing but scams and porn! You can’t believe anything you read on it! It’s overhyped nonsense! No one is going to use that!
Meanwhile in 2026: LLMs have no logical reasoning and that will never change! They can’t answer simple questions! They just flail around and produce slop!
I’m confident enough about this that I’ve registered a prediction on Long Bets.
“No LLM-based AI will surpass 70% on the ARC-AGI-3 leaderboard, with a cost of $1000 or less, before June 2028.” - https://longbets.org/973/
I’m curious if you’d really disagree with the premise, and would you (or anyone here on Lemmy) be willing to put money down to challenge the bet? (Long Bets always donates any winnings to a registered non-profit of the winner’s choice, though it’s a $200 minimum).
Are you saying that LLMs can currently reason? How do you explain their low score on ARC-AGI-3? Do you think Transformer LLM architectures will be capable of reasoning within the next two years without some new breakthrough? What mechanism in the architecture allows them to reason?
Computers are not actually intelligent. What are they but big calculators? They are removing jobs and barely doing anything better! They take up a whole room! No one needs that!
The internet is hardly worth anything. It’s nothing but scams and porn! You can’t believe anything you read on it! It’s overhyped nonsense! No one is going to use that!
Meanwhile in 2026: LLMs have no logical reasoning and that will never change! They can’t answer simple questions! They just flail around and produce slop!
You guys don’t see it? Really?
I’m confident enough about this that I’ve registered a prediction on Long Bets.
“No LLM-based AI will surpass 70% on the ARC-AGI-3 leaderboard, with a cost of $1000 or less, before June 2028.” - https://longbets.org/973/
I’m curious if you’d really disagree with the premise, and would you (or anyone here on Lemmy) be willing to put money down to challenge the bet? (Long Bets always donates any winnings to a registered non-profit of the winner’s choice, though it’s a $200 minimum).
Are you saying that LLMs can currently reason? How do you explain their low score on ARC-AGI-3? Do you think Transformer LLM architectures will be capable of reasoning within the next two years without some new breakthrough? What mechanism in the architecture allows them to reason?
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