I’ll add to this, it’s not just about finding the initial probability since the probability for event B given A, or event C given A and B, these would increase the liklihood of being found. I couldn’t tell you exactly what the probability is but say for example event B given A, it would be 1/n for n being the number of legal spaces around A. So if the ship was in the middle of the board it would have the smallest probability of being found but if you’re along a wall, there’s only 3 possible legal spaces so the probability increases to 33.3℅, and if A was sandwitched between two walls, the probability of B is 50℅.
so if there’s a moral to this story, assert dominance and put all your pieces in the center.
I’ll add to this, it’s not just about finding the initial probability since the probability for event B given A, or event C given A and B, these would increase the liklihood of being found. I couldn’t tell you exactly what the probability is but say for example event B given A, it would be 1/n for n being the number of legal spaces around A. So if the ship was in the middle of the board it would have the smallest probability of being found but if you’re along a wall, there’s only 3 possible legal spaces so the probability increases to 33.3℅, and if A was sandwitched between two walls, the probability of B is 50℅.
so if there’s a moral to this story, assert dominance and put all your pieces in the center.