I feel like I’m a really good judge of character; I can tell if I’m not going to get along with someone or how they will treat me in the future. When it comes to high profile celebrity figures, i can get a sense of their character through very minimal data. This is why I predict Andrew Tate (toxic manosphere influencer) will pivot into becoming an alien conspiracy influence. But I have no evidence for it, thus the prediction is baseless.
Anyone have any similar beliefs/predictions?
the decision making problem is the obvious one. there are an infinite number of possible edge cases to deal with when it comes to driving a car on roads with humans. current strategies require a bespoke solution to pretty much all of them, meaning tons of common edge cases arent covered and the vehicles will take potentially wildly inappropriate actions in unhandled cases, without even considering false positive or false negative detection of handled edge cases. this problem will never go away, and if you could make a computer that could do it as reliably as a human it would basically be agi. its a sisyphian problem that isnt going to be solved before we remember how great trains and streets without cars are.