she/her failed chemistry experiment blobhaj, flag, trans, transgender

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Cake day: January 16th, 2025

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  • Mostly likely yes (insofar as a single bank can matter). When banks collapse it sets off a cascade of debt defaults which rapidly contracts the real money supply in an economy, since most actual wealth (and, in turn, the physical creation and transfer of goods, services, and labor that facilitates) is created via fractional reserve lending. This causes a recession. If it was only this bank, it probably wouldn’t be that huge of a deal for China more broadly. But it’s not only this bank, and it is a huge number of provincial pet banks all tied to the same development and speculation industry. There’s a reason economists have been sounding alarm bells. That’s not to say China doesn’t have the resources to deal with this and/or the fallout, but it is at least a problem to be dealt with.