

Iran and Oman made a framework deal to share toll revenue. US taking all/most of Oman’s share is a likely outcome.


Iran and Oman made a framework deal to share toll revenue. US taking all/most of Oman’s share is a likely outcome.


This reduces flow of oil out, and should let Iran take a bigger toll from GCC ports that are still too close to US/Israel. The seeds of an outcome is for world to stop asking US to negotiate with Iran, and negotiate themselves. There is question that if world agrees with Iran to open straight does US do the same? But this has to be handled with a deal with Iran first, then convince US.
World is better off economically with 20m barrels (+ all other stuff from region) per day at $60/bbl than 0-1m at $150/bbl
Trump/US was remarkably polite about negotiations, suggesting that everything except nuclear was agreed to. GCC countries are unlikely to ever have their US bases rebuilt, with US peace or not with Iran. GCC countries that agree to expel US would have much better toll rate. The easy formula to reopen straight is pay the US’s reparations to Iran as a monthly toll prepayment.
Iran’s move to open straights quickly and end the war is destruction of neighbours desalination. Make them forced to rely on humanitarian aid, and to get on Iran’s good side. Risks regime change for poor attitudes.


Why would the US allow Iran to continue to sell oil while Iran is destroying other ships.
To keep oil prices from rising too high, with whole countries running dry. While GOP will portray it as 100% democrats fault, west coast runs out of jet fuel in a week or so.
Something Iran can do to force GCC to demand an end to war within 10 days is to destroy all desalination infrastructure
No one wants Iran to be able to charge for access to the Strait and this would put pressure on the to find a more agreeable end to the conflict.
It is a legal response to an illegal war. Reparations paid to Iran (normally by US) that US adoring colonies can pay instead would satisfy Iran’s revenue generation/compensation rationale.


The US can blockade the entrance to Persian Gulf which is further away from Iran. Oil tankers are lightly armed/defended and slower than Aircraft carrier fighter jets.


China is both extremely well supplied with Oil, and aggressively weaning itself off of oil. It’s everyone else in Asia who are now pressured to get closer to China from this. Asia cutting US off from Chips, and selling to China instead, until US leaves the Gulf region, is the most effective action. Diplomatically, asserting that the US/Israel illegal war is the primary source of fuel and helium shortages needed to make chips, industry needs to focus on serving friendly country needs first.


In Hegseth’s voice… Why can’t you idiots understand how clear our, sorry I mean our great President’s, mission has always been. We needed to start this excursion, because Iran was about to extort the world through a blockade. It’s extortion when Iran does it. We are liberating the world when we extort, uhm … uhm… liberate them from Iranian extortion. To pre-empt some of the news you will hear later this week. Iran was already threatening the region with opening Trump branded golf courses on its soil, and so America needed to make sure our friends in the region did so before hand. Radical left wing media not understanding that we won the war because 10 more Trump golf courses are opening in Gulf and 0 in Iran, just don’t understand that freedom isn’t free.


I’d hope global reaction will be anger against US. If Israel had paused its genocide of Lebanon, 20 ships/day would have flowed out of SoH. Now it will be 0. Trump just threated NATO and other allied flag ships.
Way out is for world to negotiate with Iran to pay equivalent revenue to tolls in order to have SoH fully open. World paying instead of US/Israel, if world is too timid to show anger to US.


This is good for oil stocks/oil prices going much higher… until TACO.


It’s all about whether Binance lets them cash out or not, but mixing within BRICS is sure to make it clean enough, as Binance getting/keeping sovereign clients is good for Binance, and not worth appeasing US BS to turn it away.


Preferred crypto payment is USDT (Thether) stable coin. Which is the least US regulated, and most popular, US $ equivalent/backed stable coin. They are unlikely to refuse bitcoin, though.


First Skynet only model. Claude does have more censorship in its (Opus, Sonnet) models than others. Refusals for many scientific fields.


The Church started/was named by a global empire. By the time of Constantine, who would preside over Church commandment debates from the Pope’s throne, Jesus’s peace/humanism was erased from the church in favour of old testament’s divine right of emperor to kill and steal. Heresy laws applied to interpreting bible as humanist Jesus instead of the blessing of warmongering.
Pope really needs to undo the pre dark ages warmongering changes to Christianity. Jesus was a reformer. Yahweh a demon son that usurped his father El. Jesus’s father god was El not Yahweh.


A big US empire/global domination reason for not escalating is that Iran’s missile launches and strikes increased in last week, with $20B in damages/lost revenue per day caused over the weekend. The narrative that their capability is destroyed is a false one.
A destroyed global economy, and GCC, will not look for, nor would they receive if asked, US compensation for rebuilding. They will all ask other investment/global powers instead.
The only good news, is that the latest stone age campaing is a 4 hour one. Perhaps US declares “stone age mission accomplished” and leaves.


That would imply that the US would dismantle its bases throughout the region so that the Gulf countries would align themselves with Iran.
An option that the US has to compensating Iran in exchange for peace, and then US paying for world peace, while keeping GCC control, is to just withdraw and try to pay, be nice to GCC, to keep them under their control umbrella with hope of returning to bases for new attacks on Iran. This cannot work, because Iran would stay angry at them. US bases are destroyed, and require repair $. Trump just proposed a 2027 budget with $600B increase in defense spending, 10% cut to social/health services, and $200B extra Iran war costs. Before the war, Dems wanted last healthcare cuts removed to reopen government.
There is a genuine threat to automatic Israel reparations funding, and if GCC are practical towards Iran cooperation, then Trump and repbulicans will spite them, and Dems may promote fewer health/social cuts instead of strenthening the absolute failure of a “US protection contract” for these nations. GCC would need to continue being Israel/US colony voluntarily sacrificing themselves to Iran superiority, instead of being practical. Their biggest customer, China, can assist in making them more practical in friendship with Iran and China.


US leaves, and GCC allies with Iran the same day. SoH open the same day. All GCC infrastructure safe. No reason for US companies to stop their GCC funded investments/infrastructure.


In 1960s, Cosmopolitan magazine brainwashed women to wear mini skirts and smoke in public, and I said nothing, because that shit was hott.


He’s killed much more than Gacy.


Greater Israel includes most of Iraq and Kuwait. Current war on Iran, and “stone age” latest Trump threat, was always Israel’s goal for the war to reduce Iran’s power to object to that genocidal expansion. So it’s not so much jump over… it’s plow through Syria, Iraq, Kuwait.


Lebanon’s, who Israel does not allow any military equipment for its army, is more or less siding with Israel to take their people’s land. It should be a warning to Iranians on getting an Israeli puppet as a new regime.
I think the opposite. If ships are scared to trade with Iran, then toll costs go up on other shipping, to cover a higher Iran reparations bill. US military made much milder threat than Trump, which doesn’t include hunting down every ship that has passed SoH so far, or that may get Iran’s permission to pass now.