Based on the numbers at https://steamframeout.com/ you can do some very rough back of the envolope calculations and it’s not looking great.
In recent days, purchases and deliveries seem to move to a pretty consistent 150/day pace. At this rate, moving through the queue of roughly 37.000 reservations will take around 240 days.
Being more generous you could substract the already shipped Frames and assume a more optimistic 160 deliveries per day. This shortens the timespan to just 200 days for the outstanding backlog.
So yeah, the last reservations would be delivered around April 2027.
I am fully aware of all the caveats of the numbers used, this is just a fun little exercise based on available data.
I get that AI companies sucking up all the hardware has slowed things down elsewhere, but this legitimately just feels like a major fuckup on Valve’s part. Honestly ridiculous. It feels like they dramatically underestimated the demand for all 3 of these hardware releases this year.
I’m legitimately considering just getting one from a scalper at this point. I know that’s a practice that shouldn’t be supported at all and is a huge part of the problem, but pushing back to December at the earliest is ridiculous.
I’m just waiting and I’m waitlisted. I went years without VR. I want a frame but not enough to buy from a scalper.