Based on the numbers at https://steamframeout.com/ you can do some very rough back of the envolope calculations and it’s not looking great.

In recent days, purchases and deliveries seem to move to a pretty consistent 150/day pace. At this rate, moving through the queue of roughly 37.000 reservations will take around 240 days.

Being more generous you could substract the already shipped Frames and assume a more optimistic 160 deliveries per day. This shortens the timespan to just 200 days for the outstanding backlog.

So yeah, the last reservations would be delivered around April 2027.

I am fully aware of all the caveats of the numbers used, this is just a fun little exercise based on available data.

  • nfreak@lemmy.mlEnglish
    62·
    4 hours ago

    I get that AI companies sucking up all the hardware has slowed things down elsewhere, but this legitimately just feels like a major fuckup on Valve’s part. Honestly ridiculous. It feels like they dramatically underestimated the demand for all 3 of these hardware releases this year.

    I’m legitimately considering just getting one from a scalper at this point. I know that’s a practice that shouldn’t be supported at all and is a huge part of the problem, but pushing back to December at the earliest is ridiculous.

    • steelplatedmech@piefed.caEnglish
      5·
      1 hour ago

      I’m just waiting and I’m waitlisted. I went years without VR. I want a frame but not enough to buy from a scalper.

  • Player2@sopuli.xyzEnglish
    5·
    4 hours ago

    I thought the distinction between the reservation list and waitlist was that the reserved ones were ready to go basically immediately. They were moving through the reserved list pretty fast initially too. Guess not.

    • cronenthal@discuss.tchncs.deOP
      3·
      2 hours ago

      Being on the waitlist myself I slowly accepting the fact that it’s a “wait and see if we even produce a Frame for you” list. At this rate other manufacturers might offer competitive alternatives before I could even order one.

      The saddest thing is that I would’ve been willing to spend up to 1.800,- if only I could.

  • barkingspiders@infosec.pubEnglish
    9·
    7 hours ago

    There was an announcement yesterday or the day before that if you go to the store page for the frame and you are signed in and had a reservation it’ll show an estimate of how long you might have to wait now.

  • ZapBeebz_@lemmy.world
    6·
    3 hours ago

    They did also recently update the Steam store page for the Frame to include a go/no-go of order availability for either by December 2027 2026 or 2027, if you view the page while logged in and have one reserved