Yeah we’re not actually that far apart, if at all :)
The only way they’re going to engage in violence anyone else is if they can be confident that it won’t incur a response on the order of a NATO counterattack (or even much less). In the mainstream media this is often where the discussion stops, but it’s worth considering how Russia and the West are already engaging in actions that could be seen as acts of war: cyber-attacks, airspace incursions from Russia; boarding ships (and presumably also cyber-attacks and airspace incursions our media just doesn’t talk about) from the West. There are levels of aggression that will not be met with such a full-throated response, and Russia uses those acts to attempt to punish the West for its support of Ukraine already.
The scope exists there for more escalation, and that is where vigilance must be directed.
Yeah we’re not actually that far apart, if at all :)
The only way they’re going to engage in violence anyone else is if they can be confident that it won’t incur a response on the order of a NATO counterattack (or even much less). In the mainstream media this is often where the discussion stops, but it’s worth considering how Russia and the West are already engaging in actions that could be seen as acts of war: cyber-attacks, airspace incursions from Russia; boarding ships (and presumably also cyber-attacks and airspace incursions our media just doesn’t talk about) from the West. There are levels of aggression that will not be met with such a full-throated response, and Russia uses those acts to attempt to punish the West for its support of Ukraine already.
The scope exists there for more escalation, and that is where vigilance must be directed.