So here’s the uncomfortable question Australians should ask, especially when our leader Anthony Albanese was so quick to line up behind the strikes: what exactly is the theory of change?

Not the slogan. Not the press release. The real theory. How, precisely, does dropping bombs - or killing a dictator - make Iranian women freer, Iranian prisons emptier, Iranian courts fairer, or Iranian politics more accountable? And how does it secure long-term peace in the Middle East.

If we can’t answer that in plain language, then we are not looking at a pathway to peace and human rights. We’re looking at protracted violence and dysfunction dressed up as virtue.

  • arbilp3@aussie.zoneOP
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    2 days ago

    Could you provide some examples of where this has worked?

    Has the West (with some countries being excepted) actually ever tried the above combined methods? I doubt it. I am not a historian and someone else here may have examples but from what I know, since WW2 the West (US-led alliances) has attempted “regime change” in countries in most continents by coercion and violence and it has not worked, or worked for a very short time and left the occupied countries often in a worse mess than they were before.

    As for North Korea, a peace has, in fact, been maintained for the last 60 years. We haven’t been at war with them, have we, nor have they been at hot war with anyone else, have they? What they do in their own country is their business. Although I’m sure if they had oil and/or rare earth minerals the West would be there attempting regime change to bring democracy and freedom to the people. On the other hand, the US has been happy to support corrupt regimes which also oppressed their peoples and they never offered to liberate them.

    • ikt@aussie.zone
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      2 days ago

      What they do in their own country is their business

      Damn that’s ice cold, sorry I can’t be as apathetic as you to people being executed for watching a k-drama

      Why did you even post this? Why do you care what Iran does, it’s citizens are happy that the US intervened and the evil regime has suffered, as you said, it’s their business not ours.

      • arbilp3@aussie.zoneOP
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        2 days ago

        I can assure you I am not apathetic and I had not heard that people get executed for watching a k-drama. I don’t know if that is even true. And do you mean to say you are warm-hearted because you care about what happens in NK but are quite happy to see tens of thousands killed, if not more, by the time this war is over. People are saying it’s going to drag out.

        You obviously pay attention to mainstream media. I suggest you look at other sources of information for some balance. The majority of Iranians are not happy to be bombed in order to be ‘liberated’. Remember Iraq? What’s the situation with Iraq since the war that killed about 200,000? Was that not evil? I care about Iranian civilians (and all civilians) because they have a right to their sovereignty and through this war the civilian death toll is going to be high.

        • ikt@aussie.zone
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          2 days ago

          but are quite happy to see tens of thousands killed, if not more, by the time this war is over

          Tens of thousands have ALREADY been killed

          https://aussie.zone/comment/21680206

          As mentioned here:

          I assume you’ve gotten over this which happened barely a month ago:

          Disappeared bodies, mass burials and ‘30,000 dead’: what is the truth of Iran’s death toll?

          https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/jan/27/iran-protests-death-toll-disappeared-bodies-mass-burials-30000-dead

          Posted here:

          Iran’s anti-government protests claim more than 640 lives

          https://aussie.zone/post/28579108?scrollToComments=true

          and here:

          Iran signals fast trials and executions for protesters as crackdown death toll exceeds 2,500

          https://aussie.zone/post/28620585?scrollToComments=true

          and here:

          At least 3,428 killed in Iranian crackdown on protesters, NGO says

          https://aussie.zone/post/28639607?scrollToComments=true

          and here:

          [FR] An unprecedented massacre in the history of Iran: more than 12,000 protesters reportedly killed since Thursday.

          https://aussie.zone/post/28587698?scrollToComments=true

          With all but 2 comments posted on all of them

          Sounds like selective outrage to me m8


          You obviously pay attention to mainstream media.

          Obviously ay? It’s not like I talk to Iranians in real life or follow lots of news from lots of sources? so happy you’re able to quickly put me in a container and educate me on the correct narrative.

            • dockedatthewrongworf@aussie.zone
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              6 hours ago

              I don’t normally wade into these threads because they’re normally very emotionally charged but discrediting people cause they no longer live in the country of question denies displaced communities a voice.

              Your statement would mean refugees or individuals who had the funds to legally (or illegally) escape from places like Syria under the Assad regime should be ignored as they don’t live in the country (roughly 6.2 million refugees or displaced individuals from as early as 2011).

              While we should always take care when taking statements from any individual or group at face value and we should always complement them with a wide range of research from various sources we should never discredit someone’s voice because of something as arbitrary as not living in a country anymore.

          • arbilp3@aussie.zoneOP
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            2 days ago

            Pot calling the kettle black perhaps? You were a lot quicker in calling me apathetic and cold-hearted. Perhaps more experienced in this social media invective than I am.

            The number of protesters reportedly killed in Iran changes depending on who is doing the reporting. The numbers of people killed by govt and external non-govt agents also changes. That should tell you that none of us really have accurate figures. What seems to be clear to me is that if this war drags on as the say it will, we are going to see deaths in the hundreds of thousands, in and outside of Iran. As if witnessing a couple of genocides and various other bombings of countries is not enough.

            • ikt@aussie.zone
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              2 days ago

              yes sorry been doing this for 25 years now, i was busy watching cnn live stream tanks going into iraq and before that the explosions as missiles hit afghanistan

              That should tell you that none of us really have accurate figures.

              Fans of the evil islamic regime are pissed meanwhile there are more than enough Iranians around the world and inside Iran celebrating to tell you all you need to know

              we are going to see deaths in the hundreds of thousands, in and outside of Iran

              Yes I already have been witnessing this daily for 4 years now with the Russian invasion of Ukraine

              If you think I’ll stop donating to Ukraine to help it in its fight for freedom because of over 100,000 deaths and a non exact death toll you’ll have to forgive me we have a difference of opinion

              • arbilp3@aussie.zoneOP
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                2 days ago

                Why are you bringing off-topic countries into this thread I wonder. I’ve never mentioned Ukraine just like I never mentioned NK until you did. Why would I object to your donations to Ukraine? Civilians are suffering greatly there. I am all for protecting and aiding civilians wherever they may be.

                We see the celebrating Iranians but we are not seeing any interviews with people who object to the bombing of their country. But they are there.

                • ikt@aussie.zone
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                  1 day ago

                  I don’t really care about those who liked the evil regime, iranians have been crying out for change for decades now and the wholesale slaughter of them peacefully protesting last month was one of the most brutal acts of repression ive seen ever