Their accuracy died when people like me became difficult to poll.
I don’t answer phone calls from unknown callers. I delete unsolicited text messages. I throw away irrelevant junk mail without opening it. I automatically delete emails that don’t come from my whitelist of approved senders. I don’t answer the door for door-to-door solicitors.
How are pollsters supposed to find out about the opinions of me and people like me? It’s just impossible. And I don’t think I’m alone – there’s a large and growing portion of the population who are just absolutely impossible to get poll data about.
Polling has been getting increasingly worse for decades now.
Their accuracy died with the monoculture and no amount of multilevel regression and post-stratification seems to compensate for that
Their accuracy died when people like me became difficult to poll.
I don’t answer phone calls from unknown callers. I delete unsolicited text messages. I throw away irrelevant junk mail without opening it. I automatically delete emails that don’t come from my whitelist of approved senders. I don’t answer the door for door-to-door solicitors.
How are pollsters supposed to find out about the opinions of me and people like me? It’s just impossible. And I don’t think I’m alone – there’s a large and growing portion of the population who are just absolutely impossible to get poll data about.