I think they know AGI is far off, and are setting a more medium term goal. I think they are just trying to corner the new LLM market that might emerge. Even if the bubble pops and 3/4 go bust, they hope to be the one that survives and gets to be the quasi-monopoly in that market for the next decade.
Nobody “knows” that AGI is far off just like nobody knows that it’s near either. That is not an established fact. Those are both just popular narratives in their respective camps. We could get there tomorrow or it could take usanother 400 years. Both are plausible outcomes.
I think they know AGI is far off, and are setting a more medium term goal. I think they are just trying to corner the new LLM market that might emerge. Even if the bubble pops and 3/4 go bust, they hope to be the one that survives and gets to be the quasi-monopoly in that market for the next decade.
Nobody “knows” that AGI is far off just like nobody knows that it’s near either. That is not an established fact. Those are both just popular narratives in their respective camps. We could get there tomorrow or it could take usanother 400 years. Both are plausible outcomes.
Sure just like we could discover the Greek gods exist tomorrow.
The point is that there is no reason to plan towards AGI for those CEOs.
Ridicule is evasion, not counter.
That’s okay with me. This discussion hasn’t been fruitful since you latched on to the term “know” instead of engaging with the content.