Bettors are using death threats to try to get The Times of Israel's military correspondent to change his report on a missile impact in central Israel. This is his alarming account
The most absurd class of prediction market bets are those where 100s or 1000s know the result before it is reported/finalized. This is one such event due to reporting delay. The 2nd most absurd class are where propaganda and “house interpretation” of outcomes can provide significant profits to those who can influence turning a $1 into a $0 outcome.
The most absurd class of prediction market bets are those where 100s or 1000s know the result before it is reported/finalized. This is one such event due to reporting delay. The 2nd most absurd class are where propaganda and “house interpretation” of outcomes can provide significant profits to those who can influence turning a $1 into a $0 outcome.
Don’t forget that people who can make the decisions can also bet.