TLDR: Since Tesla’s June 2025 robotaxi launch, Tesla has built a 39-vehicle unsupervised fleet, while Waymo has a newly disclosed 3,791-vehicle U.S. fleet. So Tesla appears to be on pace to catch up with Waymo’s autonomous fleet size by the year 2111.
LOL!
Honestly, this just exposes how bad the author is at math.
Like congratulations, you’ve heard of a linear trend line, surely all systems can be modelled with nothing more than an unchanging straight line right?
I hope nothing but the worst for Tesla, but this kind of guffawing at the most basic possible extrapolation just makes the author look dumb.
It’s me. And yes, I’m bad at math, guilty as charged. I tend to make pretty simple points.
But, yes, when a publicly traded company promises exponential growth on their earnings calls, and then delivers double-digit unit delivery a year later, I do tend to point and laugh. All of that is accurate.
I mean, they’re going to accelerate the pace, obviously…
They’re just on fire!
“unsupervised” means that AI (Actually Indian) is driving those things, most of the time, right?
Why do we need robot taxis?
so you that taxi drivers don’t get payed and they get all the money, of course.
I’m fine with that timeline. The rollout in Austin hasn’t been the smoothest – though in faiirness, we now have so many Waymos in town that they keep having issues like knowing what to do when encountering an emergency vehicle. They aren’t going around killing people, but that’s a pretty low bar.
