• Melchior@feddit.org
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    12 hours ago

    Given the situation a statement like the “most dangerous situation since WW2” stops being fear-mongering, but starts being at least somewhat reasonable.

    As for acting accordingly deterrence is a key part of that. Russia is going to see a lot of those actions as escalation. They certainly cried about every bit of aid send to Ukraine as being escalation. Putin and Trump certainly think somewhat alike. So being prepared against Putin is also going to help against Trump. The problem with that is that a war not waged due to heavy military spending, makes the military spending look stupid. The issue here is that we do not know how much was actually needed.

    • splendoruranium@infosec.pub
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      10 hours ago

      As for acting accordingly deterrence is a key part of that. Russia is going to see a lot of those actions as escalation. They certainly cried about every bit of aid send to Ukraine as being escalation. Putin and Trump certainly think somewhat alike. So being prepared against Putin is also going to help against Trump. The problem with that is that a war not waged due to heavy military spending, makes the military spending look stupid. The issue here is that we do not know how much was actually needed.

      That is the nature of a security dilemma. Riling up the general population to facilitate arms races is not a way out of it, is it?

      • Melchior@feddit.org
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        9 hours ago

        It is not. Russia is at war and has a war economy already. It can not have an arms race as well. The potential problem is that Russia might win the war against Ukraine and then use its military to fight the EU or that they believe they would lose due to EU support of Ukraine and therefore come to the conclusion that stopping that support could be achieved by attacking the EU.

        The way out of it is to send a lot of arms to Ukraine, while having a strong enough force in the EU to make sure that Russia does not do anything stupid.

        As for Trump that might happen, but the EU only needs enough to defend itself. So no carriers or large navy needed.