I didn’t read the whole paper, but I did read the article.
When they take the 2016 projections into account, do they factor in that one thing that happened in 2020 which drastically changed the trajectory of most economies worldwide?
Like yeah, it’s provable that Brexit was a bad move from basically every perspective unless you were super rich with significant holdings in the UK, but this feels like bad data to be drawing conclusions from.
I didn’t read the whole paper, but I did read the article.
When they take the 2016 projections into account, do they factor in that one thing that happened in 2020 which drastically changed the trajectory of most economies worldwide?
Like yeah, it’s provable that Brexit was a bad move from basically every perspective unless you were super rich with significant holdings in the UK, but this feels like bad data to be drawing conclusions from.
They did, the simulated non-Brexit UK has roughly the same trajectory through covid
They don’t need to account for world events. They’re reporting on the actual real world loses.
This is a comparison of Scotland (or rather, the UK, Scotland is just the worst-hit) against a hypothetical version of it that didn’t leave the EU